How To Break Anything

Innovation + experience-minded design strategy. The pieces of a working model for understanding culture + change in an increasingly complex world.

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      21 Mar 2011

      Converse myopia, from "US spy operation that manipulates social media"

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      The US military is developing software that will let it secretly manipulate social media sites by using fake online personas to influence internet conversations and spread pro-American propaganda.

      A Californian corporation has been awarded a contract with United States Central Command (Centcom), which oversees US armed operations in the Middle East and Central Asia, to develop what is described as an "online persona management service" that will allow one US serviceman or woman to control up to 10 separate identities based all over the world.

      The project has been likened by web experts to China's attempts to control and restrict free speech on the internet. Critics are likely to complain that it will allow the US military to create a false consensus in online conversations, crowd out unwelcome opinions and smother commentaries or reports that do not correspond with its own objectives.

      The discovery that the US military is developing false online personalities – known to users of social media as "sock puppets" – could also encourage other governments, private companies and non-government organisations to do the same.

      The Centcom contract stipulates that each fake online persona must have a convincing background, history and supporting details, and that up to 50 US-based controllers should be able to operate false identities from their workstations "without fear of being discovered by sophisticated adversaries".

      Centcom spokesman Commander Bill Speaks said: "The technology supports classified blogging activities on foreign-language websites to enable Centcom to counter violent extremist and enemy propaganda outside the US."

      He said none of the interventions would be in English, as it would be unlawful to "address US audiences" with such technology, and any English-language use of social media by Centcom was always clearly attributed. The languages in which the interventions are conducted include Arabic, Farsi, Urdu and Pashto.

      via guardian.co.uk

      People are generally aware of the fact that change in the world will inevitably render a number of institutions rather unrecognizable, so it's always interesting to me that people are generally unaware of the specific manifestations of that change. Sort of far-sighted, like a strangely converse myopia - in Everything We Know Is Wrong!, Magnus Lindkvist points to this as blindness to slow change. Like with the divorce counselor who comes home to relationship problems of his/her own, these things are inevitable - it happens to everyone.

      The article reminds me of the idea that the era where warfare is completely unrecognizable to our traditional models of conflict is quickly on the horizon, if not already upon us in that Gibson-esque "the future is just not evenly distributed" way.

      Conflicts are traditionally about controlling resources, whether natural resources or strategic resources or potential resources. This is actually no different now, organizations have just started to understand that social environments can be considered valuable resources as well.

      I'm sort of reminded of time spent in the military intelligence world. There was this alluringly mysterious Psyops branch, somewhere off in the ether (I don't remember ever meeting anyone who was actually part of this branch). It's not actually that secret or anything but I never really knew too much about it then and not much more about it now. But I'm quite sure it's gained influence over the last half century as we've moved from a linear understanding of influencing the world (if I control these tangible resources, then we will wield power) to a more exponential, less-than-intuitive understanding of influence.

      Actually, it most reminds me of the military intelligence world because of the statement "the technology supports classified blogging activities on foreign-language websites to enable Centcom to counter violent extremist and enemy propaganda outside the US."

      One of the driving tenants of the US intelligence community is that military intelligence is [[[almost]]] never collected on Americans. I'm guessing there was a time when just the prospect of imagery-based intelligence collection garnered the same amount of shock that the above article most certainly has.

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      29 Nov 2010

      Wikileaks, social intelligence, and the challenge of chronological proportionality

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      One thing the last 30 years have taught us that the media is consistently terrible at identifying what's going to be important 30 years later. [see: Frank Gavin - Five Ways To Use History Well]

      Watching the wikileaks conversation spread gets me thinking that I suppose in 30 years we'll see how much better "empowered networks of individuals" are at it. ('it' being the task of correctly assessing the chronologically proportional weight of events, in the present, without the advantage of historical perspective aka hindsight)

      My initial response is to reflect on our characteristic short-sightedness and propensity to get excited about *seemingly* important things and think "probably not much better," but then I get to thinking what we'd be talking about would be an emergent display of social forecasting, and a key property of emergent behavior is in fact its unexpectedness.

      Sort of like ants that correctly predict the oncoming of a flood and build barriers accordingly, that might be the quintessential example.

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      3 Nov 2010

      On the future of intelligent, user-recognizing technology and the threat of spam

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      [There seems to be] a potential darkside in waiting. Aside from all the surveillance concerns you've suddenly got objects that can swarm in three dimensions and might get cheap enough for the economics of spam to apply. Never mind walking past a Starbucks gets you a coffee voucher on your phone - we'll just soak the area with robovouchers that'll get in your hair until you buy a cappucino.

       

      via russelldavies.typepad.com

      The above is from Russell Davies' Designing Behaviour and Robospam. A short section from an excellent post that is otherwise on designing for emotional experiences.

      The above reminds me that in a very Douglas Adams-esque "anything that gets invented after you’re thirty is against the natural order of things" way, people tend to worry about the future of intelligent technologies.

      It's plain to me that it's not intelligent technology that people should be worried about. It's unintelligent, short-sighted people poorly designing intelligent technology that they should be worried about.

      ...Those people have always existed, of course. And of course they will continue to exist. 

      I just got this email that I think illustrates the point nicely, given people's nervousness around Facebook's new Places and tagging features:

      Screen_shot_2010-11-07_at_8
      When people get emails like the above, the first thing that probably comes to mind is probably against Facebook tagging features. The technology isn't the problem here, it's people like shoppybag. 

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      7 Jul 2010

      Popular doesn't necessarily = valuable, profitable doesn't necessarily = valuable

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      I've been very heavy on the idea that the fact that something is popular doesn't necessarily mean that it's valuable. Sometimes it is, but value is a property of meaning, not a property of popularity. Given that popularity is a property of accessibility, it's easy to make a case for the above: accessibility is directly opposed to scarcity, which is a key measure of an important kind of value.
      Here are two more ways to look at this:

      1) For the visual types:

      2) For the logical types:
      popular = accessible
      accessible = ~scarce
      scare = valuable
      ∴ popular != valuable

      An important related implication of the above is that something being profitable doesn't necessarily mean it is valuable, either. In an excerpt from the post "Payola," Seth captures these ideas below:

      The New York Times bestseller list is even more easily manipulated than Billboard ever was. It doesn't cost much to scam it and it's pretty straightforward to buy your way onto the list (I know authors who have done this and consultants who sell this service.) You can hire a bunch of old ladies who will go into the 'right' stores and buy books on the right day. As a result of this distortion, the books on the list get more promoted, and thus sell more copies. It's not pretty but it's true.
      via sethgodin.typepad.com

      Certainly, there is in fact a kind of value that both popularity and profitability can measure. I see these as indicators of something being what I call "business-valuable," and I include them on the right side of what I'm calling a paradox in the image above.  

      From Seth's excerpt above I can't help but be reminded about SEO and any number of other strategies that I generally think of as "putting business-valuable before wisdom/long-term valuable." It's easy to look at the first and notice that it is in fact a kind of value, without considering the other (I argue more important) kinds of value in the world.

       

       

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      27 Apr 2010

      Shortsighted thinking like this really bothers me. That is all.

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      Going From Mobile To Plastic? A Step Backward, But A Clever Short-Term One

      A vendor named OfferIQ is pushing an idea that, at first, sounds positively backward. It’s a way to take a mobile digital coupon and convert it to be accessible by a plastic credit or debit card. But the idea is actually grounded in reality and boosts near-term revenue. Like it or not, mobile coupon redemption is not especially easy for most retailers. As American Banker recently pointed out, scanners need upgrading and associates need to be trained.

      via storefrontbacktalk.com

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      18 Feb 2010

      Click here for ROI goldmine [via sponsorship/advertising]

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      Media_httpnewsimgbbcc_uwwgx
      via news.bbc.co.uk

      Just ran into this silly little short-sighted thought: 

      "The most obvious way to turn AR into a money-spinner would be via advertising."

      This is 3rd-grade level thinking.

      The added bonus here is that you can substitute pretty much anything for "AR". Here are some examples, feel free to generate as much ROI as you'd like from them:

      "The most obvious way to turn your blog into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn the internet into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn twitter into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn google buzz into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn baseball into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn legos into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn the Olympics into a money-spinner would be via advertising."
      "The most obvious way to turn the national anthem into a money-spinner would be via advertising."

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      Kyle Cameron Studstill
    • Obox Design
  • How To Break Anything

    Hello friends and collaborators. I deal in innovation, working to build fantastic experiences enabled by the digital world. As part of this I track cultural change, primarily through observations guided by models and filters calibrated over years to sort out the cream.

    These pieces of thoughts here reflect concepts that are elements of those models: ecosystem thinking, long-term value, information filters, and pattern recognition.

    ("How to break anything" is an abstract notion that reflects my background in observation and analysis. Rules are meant to be broken, but only through understanding the rules - observing them with an empathetic eye - can they be broken constructively.

    So how to break anything? Observe everything.

    [You can't observe everything so how do you know what to observe? That's another project that I call Filter Theory - see the About link above.])

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